THE READ
Match details. It's an international friendly. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. The match is at Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. It's a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Argentina have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Benin have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.
The numbers. Argentina score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. They average 13.1 shots (5.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Benin score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 9.8 shots (4.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
The read. Argentina to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Argentina the likelier winners; Argentina are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Argentina. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Argentina Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Argentina 4-0 Benin (16% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Argentina (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ARG 6 of 7 (86%) · BEN 4 of 9 (44%)99.7%
Argentina won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Benin lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 6, refunded 3, lost 1
Argentina to WinPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ARG 4 of 6 (67%) · BEN 4 of 10 (40%)97.4%
Argentina won 4 of 6 at home · Benin lost 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
Argentina or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ARG 5 of 5 (100%) · BEN 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%
Argentina scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Benin trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
no price yet
ARG 5 of 5 (100%) · BEN 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%
Argentina scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 at home · Benin trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
no price yet
ARG 6 of 6 (100%) · BEN 10 of 10 (100%)98.9%
Argentina: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Benin: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · each game weighed by who it was against
no price yet
ARG 6 of 6 (100%) · BEN 6 of 10 (60%)94.3%
Argentina: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Benin: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
ARGENTINA GOALS
Argentina Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ARG 6 of 6 (100%) · BEN 6 of 10 (60%)98.7%
Argentina scored in 6 of 6 at home · Benin conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
Argentina Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ARG 4 of 6 (67%) · BEN 3 of 10 (30%)93.2%
Argentina scored over 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · Benin conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
ARG 6 of 6 (100%) · BEN 7 of 10 (70%)87.7%
Argentina: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Benin: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
no price yet
ARG 3 of 6 (50%) · BEN 6 of 8 (75%)72.9%
Argentina's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 6 at home · Benin's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Argentina Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (91%) and the records (64%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)
THE NUMBERS
ARGENTINA HOMExBENIN AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.000.70CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.30CORNERS A GAME3.602.20CARDS A GAME2.88
TRENDS
Argentina have scored in 80% of their games.
Benin have scored in 70% of their games.
Argentina kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Benin kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.