Match details. USL League One. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time.
Form. Sarasota Paradise have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. Charlotte Independence have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.
The numbers. Sarasota Paradise score two and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Sarasota Paradise average 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Charlotte Independence score 2.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Charlotte Independence average 5.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 100% on the records (Sarasota Paradise: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; Charlotte Independence: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9). Backup: Sarasota Paradise Over 0.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Sarasota Paradise or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Charlotte Independence or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sarasota Paradise 2-2 Charlotte Independence (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).