SC Pisa scored in 3 of 5 away · Monaco conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. It's an international friendly. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It's just a friendly, so no points are on the line.
Form. Monaco have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. SC Pisa have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W.
The numbers. Monaco score 2.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 10.0 shots (4.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. SC Pisa score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 9.6 shots (3.9 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. SC Pisa's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Monaco to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Monaco the likelier winners; Monaco are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Monaco. Their goals for and against point to an open game and their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Monaco or Draw at 1.17, 80% on the records (Monaco unbeaten in 8 of 10; SC Pisa failed to win 4 of 5 away). Full cover: SC Pisa Over 0.5 Goals at 1.64. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Monaco Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Monaco 2-1 SC Pisa (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Monaco or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.09
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · SCP 9 of 10 (90%)90%
Monaco scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
Monaco or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 9 of 10 (90%) · SCP 5 of 5 (100%)89.4%
Monaco: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Monaco or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · SCP 5 of 5 (100%)83.5%
Monaco: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Double Chance: Monaco or DrawMAININ CODES
1.12
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · SCP 4 of 5 (80%)82.5%
Monaco unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Monaco or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 9 of 10 (90%) · SCP 4 of 5 (80%)82.1%
Monaco: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Monaco 1UPIN CODES
1.30
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · SCP 8 of 10 (80%)80%
Monaco scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa trailed in 4 of 5 away
Monaco (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.18
MON 7 of 9 (78%) · SCP 6 of 8 (75%)79.4%
Monaco won 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · SC Pisa lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 76% · won 6, refunded 1, lost 2
Monaco or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.51
MON 7 of 10 (70%) · SCP 4 of 5 (80%)64.1%
Monaco: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
Monaco to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
MON 7 of 10 (70%) · SCP 3 of 5 (60%)63.1%
Monaco won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · SCP 5 of 5 (100%)77.3%
Monaco: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.99
MON 7 of 10 (70%) · SCP 2 of 5 (40%)49.6%
Monaco: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
MONACO GOALS
Monaco Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
MON 9 of 10 (90%) · SCP 4 of 5 (80%)82.1%
Monaco scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
SC PISA GOALS
SC Pisa Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.64
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · SCP 8 of 10 (80%)61.2%
SC Pisa scored in 3 of 5 away · Monaco conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
MON 7 of 10 (70%) · SCP 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%
Monaco: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SC Pisa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Monaco Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (49%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.6%
Monaco goals →
SC Pisa goals ↓
0-04%
1-07%
2-08%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-31%
1-32%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.4%
0-40.4%
1-40.8%
2-40.8%
3-40.6%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MONACOWLLWWWWWDW2.20 PPG
SC PISALLLDLWWLLD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONACO HOMExSC PISA AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.001.30CONCEDED A GAME2.0020%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.70CORNERS A GAME3.201.60CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.60POINTS A GAME1.40+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES5
Monaco: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MONACO OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
SC PISA OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MONACOxSC PISA
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.600.60CONCEDED A GAME1.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Monaco have scored in 90% of their games.
SC Pisa have scored in 60% of their games.
Monaco kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
SC Pisa kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards