HNK Gorica vs NK Rudes Zagreb
Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
What's at stake. HNK Gorica are 9th on 5 points after 8 games, 2 points behind NK Slaven Belupo, 1 point clear of Rudes. A win would take them above NK Slaven Belupo. NK Rudes Zagreb are 10th on 4 points after 8 games, 1 point behind HNK Gorica. A win would take them above HNK Gorica.
Form. HNK Gorica have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D. NK Rudes Zagreb have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. HNK Gorica score 0.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. HNK Gorica average 7.2 shots (2.8 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. NK Rudes Zagreb score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Rudes Zagreb average 7.7 shots (3.5 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings HNK Gorica have won five, drawn one and lost one. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, HNK Gorica won three and NK Rudes Zagreb won one. The last time they met, on 29 Oct 2025, it finished HNK Gorica 6-0 NK Rudes Zagreb.
Where it pulls both ways. NK Rudes Zagreb are the form side, but the meetings favour HNK Gorica: in the last seven meetings, HNK Gorica won five, NK Rudes Zagreb won one and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 80% on the records (HNK Gorica: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; NK Rudes Zagreb: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); HNK Gorica or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: HNK Gorica 2-1 NK Rudes Zagreb (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).