SPSHE

12:35Fri 9 Oct

HEN

HEN

Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Chinese Super League. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 12:35 Lagos time.

Form. Shenzhen Peng City have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. Henan have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L.

The numbers. Shenzhen Peng City score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Shenzhen Peng City average 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Henan score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Henan average 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Shenzhen Peng City 1-1 Henan (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

SHE 8 of 9 (89%) · HEN 6 of 9 (67%)88.8%

Shenzhen Peng City: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Henan: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Shenzhen Peng City: only games against sides at Henan's level · Henan: only games against sides at Shenzhen Peng City's level

HENAN GOALS

Henan Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

SHE 7 of 9 (78%) · HEN 7 of 9 (78%)72%

Henan scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Shenzhen Peng City conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Henan: only games against sides at Shenzhen Peng City's level · Shenzhen Peng City: only games against sides at Henan's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Shenzhen Peng City goals →

Henan goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SHENZHEN PENG CITYDLDWLWLDLW1.20 PPG

HENANDDDDLDDWDW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SHENZHEN PENG CITY HOMExHENAN AWAY

1.31SCORED A GAME1.271.73CONCEDED A GAME1.3550%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.92CORNERS A GAME5.732.27CARDS A GAME1.96

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.10POINTS A GAME1.20-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.10–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.810LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

48%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

SHENZHEN PENG CITY OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

HENAN OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SHENZHEN PENG CITYxHENAN

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Shenzhen Peng City have scored in 70% of their games.

Henan have scored in 80% of their games.

Shenzhen Peng City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Henan kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards