CA Alvarado vs CAS Defensores de Belgrano
Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. CA Alvarado have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W. CAS Defensores de Belgrano have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.
The numbers. CA Alvarado score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Alvarado average 12.0 shots (2.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. CAS Defensores de Belgrano score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. CAS Defensores de Belgrano average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 80% on the records (CA Alvarado: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; CAS Defensores de Belgrano: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA Alvarado or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Alvarado 0-0 CAS Defensores de Belgrano (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).