FC Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W
Match details. Primera Division Women. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Barcelona W have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Real Madrid W have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. FC Barcelona W score four and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Barcelona W average 15.7 shots (8.0 on target), 7.2 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Real Madrid W score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Real Madrid W average 16.1 shots (7.0 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: FC Barcelona W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Barcelona W the likelier winners; FC Barcelona W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Barcelona W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Barcelona W 2-1 Real Madrid W (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).