MBMON

21:30Sun 4 Oct

DUN

Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Wespow Park, Montego Bay.

What's at stake. Montego Bay United are 2nd on 7 points after 3 games, level on points with Tru-Juice, 1 point clear of Waterhouse. A win would take them above Tru-Juice. Dunbeholden FC are 13th on 0 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Treasure Beach, level on points with Humble Lions. A win would take them above Treasure Beach.

Form. Montego Bay United have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Dunbeholden FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. Montego Bay United score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Montego Bay United average 12.8 shots (5.0 on target), 9.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Dunbeholden FC score 0.7 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Dunbeholden FC average 4.7 shots (1.7 on target), 1.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Montego Bay United have won six, drawn none and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Montego Bay United won four. The last time they met, on 18 Mar 2026, it finished Montego Bay United 4-3 Dunbeholden FC.

The case against. Dunbeholden FC's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Montego Bay United to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Montego Bay United the likelier winners; Montego Bay United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Montego Bay United; the meetings favour Montego Bay United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Montego Bay United 2-1 Dunbeholden FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

MONTEGO BAY UNITED GOALS

Montego Bay United Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 3 of 6 (50%) · DUN 8 of 10 (80%)75.6%

Montego Bay United scored in 3 of 6 at home · Dunbeholden FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Montego Bay United: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Montego Bay United's level

DUNBEHOLDEN FC GOALS

Dunbeholden FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.11

MON 8 of 10 (80%) · DUN 4 of 6 (67%)74.4%

Dunbeholden FC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Montego Bay United conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Dunbeholden FC: only games against sides at Montego Bay United's level · Montego Bay United: only games against sides at Dunbeholden FC's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Montego Bay United goals →

Dunbeholden FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-011%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MONTEGO BAY UNITEDWLLLWLLWDW1.30 PPG

DUNBEHOLDEN FCWDLWLLLLLL0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MONTEGO BAY UNITED HOMExDUNBEHOLDEN FC AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.701.30CONCEDED A GAME2.0040%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE67%9.50CORNERS A GAME1.672.00CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

MONTEGO BAY UNITED OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

MONTEGO BAY UNITED 6 · 60%DRAW 0DUNBEHOLDEN FC 4 · 40%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-01-08Montego Bay United 0 – 2 Dunbeholden FC

2023-04-09Montego Bay United 0 – 4 Dunbeholden FC

2023-12-17Montego Bay United 1 – 2 Dunbeholden FC

2024-03-20Montego Bay United 2 – 0 Dunbeholden FC

2024-11-10Montego Bay United 2 – 1 Dunbeholden FC

2025-02-02Montego Bay United 0 – 2 Dunbeholden FC

2025-04-06Montego Bay United 4 – 0 Dunbeholden FC

2025-09-07Montego Bay United 2 – 1 Dunbeholden FC

TRENDS

Montego Bay United have scored in 70% of their games.

Dunbeholden FC have scored in 30% of their games.

Montego Bay United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Dunbeholden FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards