BFBAR

00:10Sun 4 Oct

MIL

Barranquilla FC vs Millonarios FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Copa DIMAYOR, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 00:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Barranquilla FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Millonarios FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D.

The numbers. Barranquilla FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Barranquilla FC average 8.4 shots (2.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Millonarios FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet. Millonarios FC average 11.4 shots (5.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 23% against the records' 47%.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Millonarios FC win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Barranquilla FC 1-2 Millonarios FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

BAR 4 of 5 (80%) · MIL 7 of 7 (100%)88.3%

Barranquilla FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Millonarios FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 away · both last 10: 85%

BARRANQUILLA FC GOALS

Barranquilla FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.79

BAR 3 of 5 (60%) · MIL 6 of 7 (86%)71.9%

Barranquilla FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Millonarios FC conceded in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 70%

MILLONARIOS FC GOALS

Millonarios FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.11

BAR 7 of 7 (100%) · MIL 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%

Millonarios FC scored in 7 of 7 away · Barranquilla FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 4 of 5 (80%) · MIL 5 of 7 (71%)75.5%

Barranquilla FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Millonarios FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 away · both last 10: 75%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Millonarios FC win or both teams score (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.2%

Barranquilla FC goals →

Millonarios FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.5%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BARRANQUILLA FCDDDLWWLLLL0.90 PPG

MILLONARIOS FCDWDLDDWWDD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BARRANQUILLA FC HOMExMILLONARIOS FC AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.501.80CONCEDED A GAME1.000%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.50CORNERS A GAME5.002.10CARDS A GAME2.70

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.64-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.55–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES11

Millonarios FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BARRANQUILLA FC OR DRAW

59%

NO · 80/85

MILLONARIOS FC OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BARRANQUILLA FCxMILLONARIOS FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Barranquilla FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Millonarios FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Barranquilla FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Millonarios FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards