Match details. Primera C. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Club El Porvenir have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Canuelas FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Club El Porvenir score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Club El Porvenir average 3.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Canuelas FC score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Canuelas FC average 3.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The case against. Club El Porvenir's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Canuelas FC to win. A tight game. Canuelas FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Canuelas FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Canuelas FC are a clear winner, no Unders); 1X2 - 2UP: Canuelas FC (the signs point different ways); Under 2.5 Goals (Canuelas FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Club El Porvenir 0-1 Canuelas FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Canuelas FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 9 of 10 (90%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)88.4%
Canuelas FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club El Porvenir: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Canuelas FC: only games against sides at Club El Porvenir's level · Club El Porvenir: only games against sides at Canuelas FC's level
Canuelas FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.20
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 6 of 8 (75%)85%
Canuelas FC scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Club El Porvenir trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home · Canuelas FC: only games against sides at Club El Porvenir's level · Club El Porvenir: only games against sides at Canuelas FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Canuelas FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
CLU 7 of 10 (70%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)68.7%
Canuelas FC unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club El Porvenir failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Canuelas FC: only games against sides at Club El Porvenir's level · Club El Porvenir: only games against sides at Canuelas FC's level
Canuelas FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
CLU 7 of 10 (70%) · CAN 5 of 8 (62%)56.4%
Canuelas FC won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Club El Porvenir lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · Canuelas FC: only games against sides at Club El Porvenir's level · Club El Porvenir: only games against sides at Canuelas FC's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 2
CANUELAS FC GOALS
Canuelas FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.41
CLU 8 of 10 (80%) · CAN 3 of 5 (60%)75.6%
Canuelas FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club El Porvenir conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Canuelas FC: only games against sides at Club El Porvenir's level · Club El Porvenir: only games against sides at Canuelas FC's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Canuelas FC are a clear winner - no Unders); 1X2 - 2UP: Canuelas FC (the numbers (38%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 2.5 Goals (Canuelas FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Canuelas FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Canuelas FC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.3%
Club El Porvenir goals →
Canuelas FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CLUB EL PORVENIRLLWLWDWLDL1.10 PPG
CANUELAS FCWWWWWWLLWL2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB EL PORVENIR HOMExCANUELAS FC AWAY
0.83SCORED A GAME1.271.00CONCEDED A GAME0.7030%BOTH SCORED40%40%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.66CORNERS A GAME3.583.34CARDS A GAME3.15
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
DRAW OR CANUELAS FC (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.12POINTS A GAME2.62-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.08LEAGUE GAMES8
Canuelas FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CANUELAS FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
OKAY · 85/90
CLUB EL PORVENIR OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
CANUELAS FC OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CLUB EL PORVENIRxCANUELAS FC
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME0.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Club El Porvenir have scored in 50% of their games.
Canuelas FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Club El Porvenir kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Canuelas FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards