FBFB

14:30Sat 3 Oct

FC Breitenrain vs FC Bavois

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Promotion League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FC Breitenrain are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Kreuzlingen, level on points with Young Boys II. A win would take them above Kreuzlingen. FC Bavois are 16th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Lugano II, 1 point clear of Luzern II. A win would take them above Lugano II.

Form. FC Breitenrain have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. FC Bavois have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. FC Breitenrain score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Breitenrain average 10.6 shots (3.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FC Bavois score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Bavois average 6.3 shots (2.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Breitenrain have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, FC Breitenrain won two, one was drawn and FC Bavois won one. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished FC Breitenrain 1-1 FC Bavois.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. FC Bavois's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. FC Breitenrain to win. Their goals for and against make FC Breitenrain the likelier winners; FC Breitenrain are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Breitenrain; the meetings favour FC Breitenrain.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Breitenrain 2-1 FC Bavois (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

FB 4 of 5 (80%) · FB 5 of 5 (100%)84.1%

FC Breitenrain: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Bavois: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.24

FB 4 of 5 (80%) · FB 4 of 5 (80%)77.1%

FC Breitenrain: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Bavois: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

FB 4 of 5 (80%) · FB 4 of 5 (80%)73.5%

FC Breitenrain: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Bavois: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against

FC BREITENRAIN GOALS

FC Breitenrain Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.17

FB 4 of 5 (80%) · FB 4 of 5 (80%)83%

FC Breitenrain scored in 4 of 5 at home · FC Bavois conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against

FC BAVOIS GOALS

FC Bavois Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.73

FB 3 of 5 (60%) · FB 2 of 5 (40%)51.1%

FC Bavois scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · FC Breitenrain conceded under 1.5 in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.4%

FC Breitenrain goals →

FC Bavois goals ↓

0-05%

1-08%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-40.6%

1-41.0%

2-40.9%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

FC BREITENRAINWLDWWLWLLD1.40 PPG

FC BAVOISWDLLDLWLLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC BREITENRAIN HOMExFC BAVOIS AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.8020%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE44%5.14CORNERS A GAME6.001.57CARDS A GAME2.67

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.33-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES6

FC Bavois: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FC BREITENRAIN OR DRAW

59%

NO · 80/85

FC BAVOIS OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC BREITENRAINxFC BAVOIS

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

FC BREITENRAIN 5 · 50%DRAW 3FC BAVOIS 2 · 20%

7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-09-11FC Breitenrain 2 – 0 FC Bavois

2022-03-05FC Breitenrain 1 – 1 FC Bavois

2022-09-03FC Breitenrain 1 – 1 FC Bavois

2023-03-11FC Breitenrain 3 – 1 FC Bavois

2023-10-07FC Breitenrain 2 – 4 FC Bavois

2024-04-13FC Breitenrain 4 – 2 FC Bavois

2024-10-23FC Breitenrain 1 – 0 FC Bavois

2025-04-26FC Breitenrain 1 – 2 FC Bavois

TRENDS

FC Breitenrain have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Bavois have scored in 50% of their games.

FC Breitenrain kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FC Bavois kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards