FC 08 Homburg-Saar vs SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
Match details. Regionalliga Southwest, Sudwest - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC 08 Homburg-Saar are 7th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with VfR Mannheim, 1 point clear of Freiburg II. A win would take them above VfR Mannheim. SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz are 17th on 5 points after 9 games, 1 point behind FC Astoria Walldorf, 1 point clear of SSV Ulm 1846. A win would take them above FC Astoria Walldorf.
Form. FC 08 Homburg-Saar have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. FC 08 Homburg-Saar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC 08 Homburg-Saar average 0.5 cards a game. SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC 08 Homburg-Saar have won one, drawn five and lost two. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, four were drawn. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished FC 08 Homburg-Saar 1-1 SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 42%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: FC 08 Homburg-Saar are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FC 08 Homburg-Saar the likelier winners; FC 08 Homburg-Saar are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC 08 Homburg-Saar 1-1 SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).