JAPAN - J.LEAGUE CUP
08:00Sat 3 Oct
KYO
KS
Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga FC
CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
82
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class D
Double Chance: Machida Zelvia or…
Machida Zelvia v Kyoto Sanga FC
1.22odds
82%book
0edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Match details. J.League Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 08:00 Lagos time. It is played at Machida GION Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Machida Zelvia have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. Kyoto Sanga FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.
The numbers. Machida Zelvia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. Machida Zelvia average 12.4 shots (4.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Kyoto Sanga FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kyoto Sanga FC average 10.0 shots (3.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Machida Zelvia have won four, drawn one and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Machida Zelvia won two, one was drawn and Kyoto Sanga FC won one. The last time they met, on 23 Sep 2025, it finished Machida Zelvia 1-1 Kyoto Sanga FC: Machida Zelvia had 9 shots to 19, 30% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Machida Zelvia are not clearly stronger. Kyoto Sanga FC's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Machida Zelvia or the draw. Their goals for and against make Machida Zelvia the likelier winners; Machida Zelvia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Machida Zelvia.
The bets. Best bet: Machida Zelvia or Draw at 1.21, 76% on the records (Machida Zelvia unbeaten in 6 of 7; Kyoto Sanga FC failed to win 5 of 7). Full cover: Kyoto Sanga FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.44. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1-1 Kyoto Sanga FC (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Machida Zelvia or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.13
MAC 7 of 7 (100%) · KYO 7 of 7 (100%)93.8%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · the call is Machida Zelvia or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and
Machida Zelvia or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 7 of 7 (100%) · KYO 7 of 7 (100%)93.8%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · the call is Machida Zelvia or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and
Machida Zelvia or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.16
MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · KYO 7 of 7 (100%)93.3%
Machida Zelvia scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 at home · Kyoto Sanga FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
Double Chance: Machida Zelvia or DrawMAININ CODES
1.22
MAC 6 of 7 (86%) · KYO 5 of 7 (71%)81.7%
Machida Zelvia unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC failed to win 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
Machida Zelvia (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · KYO 3 of 5 (60%)79.7%
Machida Zelvia won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Kyoto Sanga FC lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 5 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · won 7, refunded 3, lost 2
Machida Zelvia or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.27
MAC 5 of 7 (71%) · KYO 6 of 7 (86%)78.6%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · the call is Machida Zelvia or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and
Machida Zelvia or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.18
MAC 6 of 7 (86%) · KYO 4 of 7 (57%)77.7%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · the call is Machida Zelvia or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and
Machida Zelvia 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.37
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · KYO 6 of 7 (86%)75.2%
Machida Zelvia scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 at home · Kyoto Sanga FC trailed in 3 of 5 away · the call is Machida Zelvia or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Machida Zelvia are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Machida Zelvia to Win Either Half: YesTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.38
MAC 6 of 7 (86%) · KYO 4 of 7 (57%)74.4%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · the call is Machida Zelvia or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with pe
1X2 - 2UP: Machida ZelviaTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.66
MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · KYO 5 of 7 (71%)57.1%
Machida Zelvia scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 7 at home · Kyoto Sanga FC trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 away · the call is Machida Zelvia or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Machida Zelvia are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
MAC 6 of 7 (86%) · KYO 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
Machida Zelvia: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 6 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
MACHIDA ZELVIA GOALS
Machida Zelvia Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
MAC 7 of 7 (100%) · KYO 7 of 7 (100%)93.8%
Machida Zelvia scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
Machida Zelvia Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
MAC 5 of 7 (71%) · KYO 4 of 7 (57%)51.8%
Machida Zelvia scored over 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 1 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
KYOTO SANGA FC GOALS
Kyoto Sanga FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
MAC 3 of 7 (43%) · KYO 6 of 7 (86%)67.4%
Kyoto Sanga FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Machida Zelvia conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 4 of 6 · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level
Kyoto Sanga FC Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.44
MAC 6 of 7 (86%) · KYO 6 of 7 (86%)63.8%
Kyoto Sanga FC scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Machida Zelvia conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 6 · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.32
MAC 6 of 7 (86%) · KYO 5 of 7 (71%)75.6%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 11.8%
Machida Zelvia goals →
Kyoto Sanga FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
MACHIDA ZELVIAWWWDWWDWLW2.30 PPG
KYOTO SANGA FCDLWWDLLLWW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MACHIDA ZELVIA HOMExKYOTO SANGA FC AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS20%10%FAILED TO SCORE30%3.20CORNERS A GAME3.671.60CARDS A GAME1.672.48xG1.481.23xG AGAINST2.57
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.12POINTS A GAME1.00+1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES8
Machida Zelvia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
36%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MACHIDA ZELVIA OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
KYOTO SANGA FC OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MACHIDA ZELVIAxKYOTO SANGA FC
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
MACHIDA ZELVIA 4 · 40%DRAW 1KYOTO SANGA FC 5 · 50%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-09-14Machida Zelvia 0 – 2 Kyoto Sanga FC
2020-08-02Machida Zelvia 0 – 1 Kyoto Sanga FC
2020-10-14Machida Zelvia 3 – 0 Kyoto Sanga FC
2021-04-11Machida Zelvia 0 – 1 Kyoto Sanga FC
2021-08-09Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Kyoto Sanga FC
2024-05-06Machida Zelvia 3 – 0 Kyoto Sanga FC
2024-11-30Machida Zelvia 1 – 0 Kyoto Sanga FC
2025-05-07Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Kyoto Sanga FC
TRENDS
Machida Zelvia have scored in 100% of their games.
Kyoto Sanga FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Machida Zelvia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Kyoto Sanga FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards