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INTERNATIONAL - INT. FRIENDLY GAMES
Kyrgyzstan crestKYRKGZ
15:00Sun 4 Oct
LBNLebanon crestLEB

Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon

CLASS A
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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
80
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class A
Kyrgyzstan crestKYRvLebanon crestLEB
Double Chance: Kyrgyzstan or Draw
Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon
International - Int… · 15:00
1.25odds
80%book
0edge
—angles
THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Kyrgyzstan have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. Lebanon have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.

The numbers. Kyrgyzstan score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Kyrgyzstan average 6.8 shots (2.4 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Lebanon score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and four games without a goal.

The case against. Lebanon's record still gives them 21% to win.

The read. Kyrgyzstan to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kyrgyzstan the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Kyrgyzstan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. Best bet: Kyrgyzstan or Draw at 1.25, rated 79% (Kyrgyzstan unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Lebanon failed to win 5 of 10). Predicted score: Kyrgyzstan 2-1 Lebanon (10% chance).

The agreed story. Kyrgyzstan or the draw, an open game.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Kyrgyzstan or DrawMAININ CODES
1.25
KGZ 4 of 5 (80%) · LBN 5 of 10 (50%)80.1%
Kyrgyzstan unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Lebanon failed to win 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · each game weighed by who it was against
Kyrgyzstan or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
KGZ 3 of 5 (60%) · LBN 7 of 10 (70%)66.2%
Kyrgyzstan: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Lebanon: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.40
KGZ 4 of 5 (80%) · LBN 8 of 10 (80%)73.6%
Kyrgyzstan: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Lebanon: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.50
KGZ 5 of 5 (100%) · LBN 6 of 10 (60%)75.1%
Kyrgyzstan: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Lebanon: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Kyrgyzstan or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.7%
Kyrgyzstan goals →
Lebanon goals ↓
0-07%
1-012%
2-012%
3-08%
4-04%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.6%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
KYRGYZSTANWLLLWDDDLL0.90 PPG
LEBANONLDWWDWWWLL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KYRGYZSTAN HOMExLEBANON AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.901.80CONCEDED A GAME0.9010%CLEAN SHEETS70%
TRENDS
Kyrgyzstan have scored in 70% of their games.
Lebanon have scored in 60% of their games.
Kyrgyzstan kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Lebanon kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards
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