Match details. Sint Maarten face Saint Vincent and the Grenadines in the CONCACAF Nations League, League B - 4. This one kicks off on Sat 3 Oct at 22:00 Lagos time. The teams meet at the FFB Stadium in Belmopan.
Form. Sint Maarten have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten matches, averaging 1.4 points a game. They come into this after back-to-back losses. In this tournament, they have gone L L W L L W. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.6 points. They have won their last three games and gone W W in this competition.
The numbers. Sint Maarten score 1.1 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, keeping three clean sheets but failing to score in five. They average 7.5 shots, 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards with 44% of the ball. For Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, their last six away games saw them score one and concede two on average, with one clean sheet. They average 13.2 shots, 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards, keeping 50% possession.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways here. Their goals for and against make Saint Vincent and the Grenadines the likelier winners, and they are also the stronger side on form and the table. However, both teams' records favour Sint Maarten.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30, 72% on the records (Sint Maarten: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10; Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sint Maarten 1-2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).