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FC St. Pauli vs Borussia M´gladbach

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. It's an international friendly at Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It's just a friendly, so no points are at stake.

Form. St. Pauli have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are D W D L L. Borussia M´gladbach have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are L L L L W.

The numbers. At home St. Pauli score one and concede 1.6 in their last five, with one clean sheet. They average 12.8 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners, 2.8 cards and 48% possession. Away M´gladbach score 1.2 and concede 2.2 in their last five, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 16.6 shots (5.5 on target), 5.0 corners, 3.1 cards and 53% possession.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings St. Pauli have won three, drawn one and lost four. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in five. In the last four the teams split one win each and two wins for M´gladbach. The last clash on 13 Mar 2026 ended 0-2 to M´gladbach, with 8 shots to 10, 60% possession and three yellow cards.

The case against. St. Pauli's record still gives them a 31% chance to win.

The read. Borussia M´gladbach to win. An open game. Borussia M´gladbach are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Borussia M´gladbach; the meetings favour Borussia M´gladbach. Their goals for and against point to an open game, with over 2.5 goals at 60% and five of the last eight meetings going over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Borussia M´gladbach Over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC St. Pauli 1-2 Borussia M´gladbach (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Borussia M´gladbach or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 8 of 9 (89%) · BOR 4 of 5 (80%)89.6%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
Borussia M´gladbach or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 7 of 9 (78%) · BOR 3 of 5 (60%)73.8%
Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 74% · H2H 5 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
Borussia M´gladbach or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · BOR 7 of 9 (78%)72.6%
Borussia M´gladbach scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC St. Pauli trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home
Borussia M´gladbach 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · BOR 6 of 9 (67%)62.2%
Borussia M´gladbach scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC St. Pauli trailed in 3 of 5 at home
Borussia M´gladbach (Draw No Bet)SETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.79
FCS 2 of 7 (29%) · BOR 5 of 6 (83%)62%
Borussia M´gladbach won 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC St. Pauli lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 4 of 5 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 4 · rule 2: the meetings back Borussia M´gladbach: in the last 8 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 3, Borussia M´gladbach won 4 and 1 was dr
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · BOR 8 of 9 (89%)95.8%
FC St. Pauli: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Borussia M´gladbach: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · BOR 7 of 9 (78%)85.4%
FC St. Pauli: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Borussia M´gladbach: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 6 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · BOR 6 of 9 (67%)60%
FC St. Pauli: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Borussia M´gladbach: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · H2H 3 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · BOR 4 of 9 (44%)59.2%
FC St. Pauli: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Borussia M´gladbach: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 3 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
FC ST. PAULI GOALS
FC St. Pauli Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · BOR 6 of 9 (67%)73.8%
FC St. Pauli scored in 5 of 5 at home · Borussia M´gladbach conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
FC St. Pauli Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · BOR 4 of 9 (44%)69%
FC St. Pauli scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Borussia M´gladbach conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACH GOALS
Borussia M´gladbach Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 6 of 9 (67%) · BOR 4 of 5 (80%)81.3%
Borussia M´gladbach scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC St. Pauli conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · BOR 7 of 9 (78%)79.2%
FC St. Pauli: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Borussia M´gladbach: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 7 of 8 (88%) · BOR 6 of 7 (86%)86.6%
FC St. Pauli's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia M´gladbach's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Borussia M´gladbach: only games against sides at FC St. Pauli's level
Left off the list: Borussia M´gladbach Over 1.5 goals (the numbers (40%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8%
FC St. Pauli goals →
Borussia M´gladbach goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-41.0%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
FC ST. PAULILLLDDLLDWD0.70 PPG
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACHDDWLWWLLLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC ST. PAULI HOMExBORUSSIA M´GLADBACH AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.801.70CONCEDED A GAME2.0010%CLEAN SHEETS40%14%FAILED TO SCORE11%5.62CORNERS A GAME5.002.75CARDS A GAME3.121.48xG1.631.71xG AGAINST2.34
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
80%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 85/90
FC ST. PAULI OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
BORUSSIA M´GLADBACH OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
FC ST. PAULI 3 · 38%DRAW 1BORUSSIA M´GLADBACH 4 · 50%
5 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2010-09-22FC St. Pauli 2 – 1 Borussia M´gladbach
2011-02-12FC St. Pauli 3 – 1 Borussia M´gladbach
2015-08-10FC St. Pauli 1 – 4 Borussia M´gladbach
2024-11-24FC St. Pauli 0 – 2 Borussia M´gladbach
2025-04-06FC St. Pauli 1 – 1 Borussia M´gladbach
2025-11-01FC St. Pauli 0 – 4 Borussia M´gladbach
2025-12-02FC St. Pauli 2 – 1 Borussia M´gladbach
2026-03-13FC St. Pauli 0 – 2 Borussia M´gladbach
TRENDS
FC St. Pauli have scored in 90% of their games.
Borussia M´gladbach have scored in 70% of their games.
FC St. Pauli kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Borussia M´gladbach kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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