Austria Lustenau vs Schalke
Match details. Austria Lustenau host Schalke in an international friendly. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct at 14:00 Lagos time at the ImmoAgentur Stadion Bregenz.
What's at stake. Since this is a friendly, there are no points riding on the result.
Form. Austria Lustenau have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.7 points a game. Their last five games, newest first, ended win, loss, win, loss, draw. Schalke have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, picking up 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are draw, win, draw, loss, win.
The numbers. Austria Lustenau score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. They average 14.1 shots (4.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.6 cards, with 42% of the ball. Schalke score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 12.6 shots (4.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.5 cards, with 45% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways with this one. Schalke are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Austria Lustenau.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Austria Lustenau 2-1 Schalke (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).