Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays
Match details. National League, Championship Group - 2. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Wakefield Park, Wellington.
What's at stake. Wellington Olympic are 2nd on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Cashmere Technical, 2 points clear of Napier City Rovers. A win would take them above Cashmere Technical. Ferrymead Bays are 7th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Auckland United, level on points with Eastern Suburbs. A win would take them above Auckland United.
Form. Wellington Olympic have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Wellington Olympic have gone W W W L L W. Ferrymead Bays have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. In this competition Ferrymead Bays have gone D.
The numbers. Wellington Olympic score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Ferrymead Bays score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. Ferrymead Bays's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Wellington Olympic to win. Wellington Olympic are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wellington Olympic.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Wellington Olympic 1-0 Ferrymead Bays (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).