Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Brawijaya Stadium, Kediri.
What's at stake. Persik Kediri are 11th on 4 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Persebaya Surabaya, 2 points clear of PSM Makassar. A win would take them above Persebaya Surabaya. Madura United are 2nd on 9 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Dewa United, level on points with Persija. A win would take them above Dewa United.
Form. Persik Kediri have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Madura United have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Persik Kediri score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Persik Kediri average 8.1 shots (1.9 on target), 7.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Madura United score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Madura United average 8.9 shots (4.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Persik Kediri have won three, drawn one and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Persik Kediri won one and Madura United won three. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Persik Kediri 1-2 Madura United.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Madura United win or both teams score (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Madura United or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back). Predicted score: Persik Kediri 2-1 Madura United (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).