Bourges FC vs EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael
Match details. National 1, Group C - 6. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Bourges FC are 13th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Saint-Priest, level on points with Istres. A win would take them above Saint-Priest. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael are 10th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Chasselay MDA, 1 point clear of Limonest. A win would take them above Chasselay MDA.
Form. Bourges FC have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Bourges FC score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael average 1.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 83% on the records (Bourges FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Bourges FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bourges FC 1-1 EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).