Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 4. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Colchester Community Stadium.
Form. Colchester United have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. In this competition Colchester United have gone L. Luton have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. In this competition Luton have gone W.
The numbers. Colchester United score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Colchester United average 12.6 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Luton score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Luton average 13.6 shots (4.5 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Colchester United have won three, drawn none and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2018, it finished Colchester United 2-1 Luton.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Luton are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Colchester United.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Colchester United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Luton or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Colchester United 2-1 Luton (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).