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ENGLAND - EFL TROPHY
Colchester United crestCUCOL
15:00Sat 3 Oct
LUTLuton crestLUT

Colchester United vs Luton

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 4. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Colchester Community Stadium.

Form. Colchester United have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. In this competition Colchester United have gone L. Luton have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. In this competition Luton have gone W.

The numbers. Colchester United score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Colchester United average 12.6 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Luton score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Luton average 13.6 shots (4.5 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Colchester United have won three, drawn none and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2018, it finished Colchester United 2-1 Luton.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Luton are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Colchester United.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Colchester United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Luton or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Colchester United 2-1 Luton (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
COL 5 of 5 (100%) · LUT 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Colchester United: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Luton: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.15
COL 4 of 5 (80%) · LUT 5 of 5 (100%)76.9%
Colchester United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Luton: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4
COLCHESTER UNITED GOALS
Colchester United Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.40
COL 4 of 5 (80%) · LUT 4 of 5 (80%)68.2%
Colchester United scored in 4 of 5 at home · Luton conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4
LUTON GOALS
Luton Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
COL 4 of 5 (80%) · LUT 4 of 5 (80%)76.9%
Luton scored in 4 of 5 away · Colchester United conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
COL 5 of 5 (100%) · LUT 5 of 5 (100%)97.1%
Colchester United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Luton: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
COL 5 of 8 (62%) · LUT 7 of 8 (88%)75%
Colchester United's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Left off the list: Colchester United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Luton or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Luton or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Colchester United or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.8%
Colchester United goals →
Luton goals ↓
0-06%
1-07%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
COLCHESTER UNITEDLDWWLLDDLD1.00 PPG
LUTONWWDLLWDLLW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
COLCHESTER UNITED HOMExLUTON AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME2.101.70CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS30%12%FAILED TO SCORE14%3.75CORNERS A GAME6.621.38CARDS A GAME2.251.55xG1.291.65xG AGAINST1.19
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.25POINTS A GAME1.14-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.20.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
COLCHESTER UNITED OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
LUTON OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
COLCHESTER UNITEDxLUTON
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
COLCHESTER UNITED 3 · 75%DRAW 0LUTON 1 · 25%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2016-12-26Colchester United 1 – 0 Luton
2017-03-25Colchester United 2 – 1 Luton
2017-08-19Colchester United 0 – 3 Luton
2018-03-30Colchester United 2 – 1 Luton
TRENDS
Colchester United have scored in 80% of their games.
Luton have scored in 80% of their games.
Colchester United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Luton kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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