Daejeon Citizen FC vs Jeonbuk FC
Match details. K-League 1, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.
What's at stake. Daejeon Citizen FC are 6th on 40 points after 30 games, 3 points behind Gangwon FC, level on points with Pohang Steelers. A win would take them level on points with Gangwon FC. Jeonbuk FC are 4th on 44 points after 30 games, 2 points behind Jeju United FC, 1 point clear of Gangwon FC. A win would take them above Jeju United FC.
Form. Daejeon Citizen FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition Daejeon Citizen FC have gone D D W W L W. Jeonbuk FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. In this competition Jeonbuk FC have gone D L D W D D.
The numbers. Daejeon Citizen FC score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Daejeon Citizen FC average 14.0 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Jeonbuk FC score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Jeonbuk FC average 14.2 shots (5.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Daejeon Citizen FC have won one, drawn four and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Jeonbuk FC won three. The last time they met, on 21 Jul 2026, it finished Daejeon Citizen FC 0-0 Jeonbuk FC: Daejeon Citizen FC had 11 shots to 16, 40% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Daejeon Citizen FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Jeonbuk FC: in the last ten meetings, Daejeon Citizen FC won one, Jeonbuk FC won five and four were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Daejeon Citizen FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Daejeon Citizen FC 1-1 Jeonbuk FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).