Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 38. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Monumental de Villa Lynch, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. CD UAI Urquiza are 21st on 32 points after 37 games, 6 points behind Flandria, 17 points clear of Ituzaingó. CA Ituzaingo are 22nd on 15 points after 37 games, 17 points behind UAI Urquiza.
Form. CD UAI Urquiza have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. CA Ituzaingo have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L.
The numbers. CD UAI Urquiza score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD UAI Urquiza average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CA Ituzaingo score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CA Ituzaingo average 3.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings CD UAI Urquiza have won one, drawn three and lost one. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CD UAI Urquiza won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 22 May 2026, it finished CD UAI Urquiza 1-1 CA Ituzaingo.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 60% against the records' 34%.
The read. No firm call: CD UAI Urquiza are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD UAI Urquiza the likelier winners; CD UAI Urquiza are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 76% on the records (CD UAI Urquiza: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Ituzaingo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD UAI Urquiza Over 0.5 goals (CD UAI Urquiza's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD UAI Urquiza 1-1 CA Ituzaingo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).