AVACV

14:30Sun 4 Oct

FCC

AC Virtus Bolzano vs FC Calvi Noale

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group C, Group C - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AC Virtus Bolzano are 12th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Bassano Virtus, 1 point clear of Calvi Noale. A win would take them above Bassano Virtus. FC Calvi Noale are 13th on 5 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Virtus Bolzano, level on points with FC Obermais. A win would take them above Virtus Bolzano.

Form. AC Virtus Bolzano have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. FC Calvi Noale have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.

The numbers. AC Virtus Bolzano score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Calvi Noale score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Calvi Noale or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Calvi Noale or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Calvi Noale (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: AC Virtus Bolzano 1-1 FC Calvi Noale (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACV 5 of 5 (100%) · FCC 9 of 9 (100%)98.1%

AC Virtus Bolzano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Calvi Noale: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Virtus Bolzano: only games against sides at FC Calvi Noale's level · FC Calvi Noale: only games against sides at AC Virtus Bolzano's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACV 4 of 5 (80%) · FCC 9 of 9 (100%)89.6%

AC Virtus Bolzano: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Calvi Noale: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AC Virtus Bolzano: only games against sides at FC Calvi Noale's level · FC Calvi Noale: only games against sides at AC Virtus Bolzano's level

FC CALVI NOALE GOALS

FC Calvi Noale Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACV 6 of 9 (67%) · FCC 5 of 5 (100%)81.5%

FC Calvi Noale scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Virtus Bolzano conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · FC Calvi Noale: only games against sides at AC Virtus Bolzano's level · AC Virtus Bolzano: only games against sides at FC Calvi Noale's level

Left off the list: FC Calvi Noale or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Calvi Noale or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Calvi Noale (Draw No Bet) (no result call); FC Calvi Noale or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

AC Virtus Bolzano goals →

FC Calvi Noale goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC VIRTUS BOLZANODLWDLLWLWL1.10 PPG

FC CALVI NOALEWWWWLLDDWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC VIRTUS BOLZANO HOMExFC CALVI NOALE AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.102.30CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS50%60%FAILED TO SCORE60%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME1.00-2.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.05LEAGUE GAMES5

FC Calvi Noale: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC VIRTUS BOLZANO OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

FC CALVI NOALE OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC VIRTUS BOLZANOxFC CALVI NOALE

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.403.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Virtus Bolzano have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Calvi Noale have scored in 70% of their games.

AC Virtus Bolzano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FC Calvi Noale kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table