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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP C
US Triestina Calcio 1918 crestUTUST
11:30Sun 4 Oct
OBEObermais crestOBE

US Triestina Calcio 1918 vs Obermais

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group C, Group C - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste.

What's at stake. US Triestina Calcio 1918 are 17th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Schio, level on points with Brian Lignano. A win would take them above Schio. Obermais are 14th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Calvi Noale, 1 point clear of Este. A win would take them above Calvi Noale.

Form. US Triestina Calcio 1918 have won none, drawn three and lost two of their last five, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. Obermais have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.

The numbers. US Triestina Calcio 1918 score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. US Triestina Calcio 1918 average 6.8 shots (2.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Obermais score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 50%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Obermais or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Obermais or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Triestina Calcio 1918 1-1 Obermais (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UST 5 of 5 (100%) · OBE 4 of 5 (80%)90%
US Triestina Calcio 1918: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Obermais: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · US Triestina Calcio 1918: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at US Triestina Calcio 1918's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UST 5 of 5 (100%) · OBE 4 of 5 (80%)90%
US Triestina Calcio 1918: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Obermais: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · US Triestina Calcio 1918: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at US Triestina Calcio 1918's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UST 4 of 5 (80%) · OBE 3 of 5 (60%)70%
US Triestina Calcio 1918: both scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Obermais: both scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · US Triestina Calcio 1918: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at US Triestina Calcio 1918's level
US TRIESTINA CALCIO 1918 GOALS
US Triestina Calcio 1918 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UST 4 of 5 (80%) · OBE 4 of 5 (80%)80%
US Triestina Calcio 1918 scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Obermais conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · US Triestina Calcio 1918: only games against sides at Obermais's level · Obermais: only games against sides at US Triestina Calcio 1918's level
OBERMAIS GOALS
Obermais Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UST 4 of 5 (80%) · OBE 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Obermais scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · US Triestina Calcio 1918 conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Obermais: only games against sides at US Triestina Calcio 1918's level · US Triestina Calcio 1918: only games against sides at Obermais's level
Left off the list: Obermais or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Obermais or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
US Triestina Calcio… goals →
Obermais goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 5
US TRIESTINA CALCIO 1918DDLDL0.60 PPG
OBERMAISLWDLD1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US TRIESTINA CALCIO 1918 HOMExOBERMAIS AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.800%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE20%
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
US TRIESTINA CALCIO 1918 OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
OBERMAIS OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
US Triestina Calcio 1918 have scored in 80% of their games.
Obermais have scored in 80% of their games.
US Triestina Calcio 1918 failed to score in 20% of their games.
Obermais failed to score in 20% of their games.
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