FEFLO

21:00Sat 3 Oct

BOT

Floresta EC CE vs Botafogo FC PB

CLASS E

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TOTAL GOALS

Class E

FEv

Under 3.5 Goals

Floresta EC CE v Botafogo FC PB

Brazil - Brasileiro… · 21:00

1.13odds

88%book

+9edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie C. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.

Form. Floresta EC CE have won three, drawn two and lost one of their last six league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L D. Botafogo FC PB have won four, drawn two and lost none of their last six league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D D W.

The numbers. Floresta EC CE score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Floresta EC CE average 9.6 shots (2.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Botafogo FC PB score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Botafogo FC PB average 10.4 shots (2.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.13, rated 95% (Floresta EC CE: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Botafogo FC PB: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Floresta EC CE 0-0 Botafogo FC PB (16% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Botafogo FC PB the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Floresta EC CE: up and down in the league (D L W L W). Botafogo FC PB: no win in their last three league games (D L L W W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.13

FLO 5 of 5 (100%) · BOT 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Floresta EC CE: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Botafogo FC PB: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Floresta EC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC PB's level · Botafogo FC PB: only games against sides at Floresta EC CE's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FLO 5 of 5 (100%) · BOT 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Floresta EC CE: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Botafogo FC PB: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Floresta EC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC PB's level · Botafogo FC PB: only games against sides at Floresta EC CE's level

Under 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.41

FLO 5 of 5 (100%) · BOT 4 of 5 (80%)68.2%

Floresta EC CE: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Botafogo FC PB: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Floresta EC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC PB's level · Botafogo FC PB: only games against sides at Floresta EC CE's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

FLO 5 of 5 (100%) · BOT 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Floresta EC CE: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Botafogo FC PB: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Floresta EC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC PB's level · Botafogo FC PB: only games against sides at Floresta EC CE's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.10

FLO 5 of 5 (100%) · BOT 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Floresta EC CE: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Botafogo FC PB: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Floresta EC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC PB's level · Botafogo FC PB: only games against sides at Floresta EC CE's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FLO 3 of 5 (60%) · BOT 8 of 9 (89%)72.8%

Floresta EC CE's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · Botafogo FC PB's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Floresta EC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC PB's level · Botafogo FC PB: only games against sides at Floresta EC CE's level

Left off the list: Floresta EC CE or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Botafogo FC PB or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–0 15.5%

Floresta EC CE goals →

Botafogo FC PB goals ↓

0-015%

1-014%

2-08%

3-03%

4-00.7%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-114%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-26%

1-26%

2-23%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-32%

2-30.9%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.4%

1-40.4%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FLORESTA EC CEDDLWWWLWLD1.50 PPG

BOTAFOGO FC PBWWDDWWLLLD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FLORESTA EC CE HOMExBOTAFOGO FC PB AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.100.90CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.672.40CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

PRICE NOT KEPT

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.75+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES8

Floresta EC CE: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

13%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FLORESTA EC CE OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

BOTAFOGO FC PB OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FLORESTA EC CExBOTAFOGO FC PB

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.000.60CONCEDED A GAME0.801.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%20%BOTH SCORE20%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Floresta EC CE have scored in 70% of their games.

Botafogo FC PB have scored in 50% of their games.

Floresta EC CE kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Botafogo FC PB kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards