Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Superbet Arena-Giulești, București.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Rapid Bucuresti 1923 have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Genoa have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L.
The numbers. Rapid Bucuresti 1923 score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Rapid Bucuresti 1923 average 17.0 shots (6.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Genoa score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Genoa average 14.8 shots (4.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Rapid Bucuresti 1923 are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Rapid Bucuresti 1923 the likelier winners; Rapid Bucuresti 1923 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rapid Bucuresti 1923. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rapid Bucuresti 1923 1-1 Genoa (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).