Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana are 12th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Caldiero Terme, 1 point clear of Real Calepina. A win would take them above Caldiero Terme. US Fiorenzuola are 18th on 1 point after 5 games, 1 point behind Tritium. A win would take them above Tritium.
Form. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D. US Fiorenzuola have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Villa Dalme Valle Brembana average 6.8 shots (2.8 on target), 7.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. US Fiorenzuola score 0.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. US Fiorenzuola average 6.0 shots (1.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Villa Dalme Valle Brembana or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Villa Dalme Valle Brembana (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Villa Dalme Valle Brembana 1-0 US Fiorenzuola (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).