CMCLU

14:00Sun 4 Oct

ACL

Club Milano SSD vs AC Leon

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Club Milano SSD are 15th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Scanzorosciate, 1 point clear of Rovato Vertovese. A win would take them above Scanzorosciate. AC Leon are 9th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Pro Palazzolo, level on points with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. A win would take them above Pro Palazzolo.

Form. Club Milano SSD have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. AC Leon have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W.

The numbers. Club Milano SSD score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Club Milano SSD average 8.6 shots (2.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AC Leon score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AC Leon average 7.5 shots (2.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Milano SSD 1-0 AC Leon (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CLU 8 of 9 (89%) · ACL 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%

Club Milano SSD: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Leon: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Club Milano SSD: only games against sides at AC Leon's level · AC Leon: only games against sides at Club Milano SSD's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CLU 7 of 9 (78%) · ACL 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%

Club Milano SSD: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Leon: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Club Milano SSD: only games against sides at AC Leon's level · AC Leon: only games against sides at Club Milano SSD's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13.5%

Club Milano SSD goals →

AC Leon goals ↓

0-010%

1-013%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-25%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CLUB MILANO SSDWWLWLLWLLD1.30 PPG

AC LEONDDLLDWDDDL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CLUB MILANO SSD HOMExAC LEON AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.000.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS20%60%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME2.50

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

20%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CLUB MILANO SSD OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

AC LEON OR DRAW

85%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Club Milano SSD have scored in 50% of their games.

AC Leon have scored in 70% of their games.

Club Milano SSD kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

AC Leon kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards