Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona.
What's at stake. Calcio Caldiero Terme are 11th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, level on points with Villa Valle. A win would take them above Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. Nibbiano And Valtidone are 2nd on 15 points after 5 games, level on points with Chievo, 6 points clear of Milan II. A win would take them above Chievo.
Form. Calcio Caldiero Terme have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L. Nibbiano And Valtidone have won five, drawn two and lost none of their last seven, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Calcio Caldiero Terme score 2.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Calcio Caldiero Terme average 7.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Nibbiano And Valtidone score 1.3 and concede 0.4 a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets. Nibbiano And Valtidone average 6.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. Nibbiano And Valtidone to win. A tight game. Nibbiano And Valtidone are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nibbiano And Valtidone. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Nibbiano And Valtidone or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nibbiano And Valtidone to Win (the signs point different ways); Nibbiano And Valtidone or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Calcio Caldiero Terme 0-1 Nibbiano And Valtidone (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).