Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Asd Calcio Brusaporto are 4th on 9 points after 5 games, level on points with Milan II, 1 point clear of Virtus Verona. A win would take them above Milan II. Pro Palazzolo are 8th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Pavonese, 1 point clear of Leon. A win would take them above Pavonese.
Form. Asd Calcio Brusaporto have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. Pro Palazzolo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. Asd Calcio Brusaporto score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Asd Calcio Brusaporto average 9.0 shots (3.6 on target), 1.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Pro Palazzolo score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Pro Palazzolo average 7.7 shots (3.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. Asd Calcio Brusaporto have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Feb 2024, it finished Asd Calcio Brusaporto 4-1 Pro Palazzolo.
The case against. Pro Palazzolo's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Asd Calcio Brusaporto to win. A tight game. Asd Calcio Brusaporto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Asd Calcio Brusaporto. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Asd Calcio Brusaporto or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Asd Calcio Brusaporto to Win (the signs point different ways); Asd Calcio Brusaporto or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asd Calcio Brusaporto 1-0 Pro Palazzolo (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).