Augsburg vs Hertha
Match details. Augsburg host Hertha in a friendly at the WWK Arena. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It's a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Augsburg have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Hertha have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Augsburg score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 14.5 shots (6.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Hertha score two and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. They average 16.5 shots (5.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Augsburg have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Hertha won three. The last time they met on 25 Feb 2023 it finished Augsburg 0-2 Hertha; Augsburg had 8 shots to 11, 56% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Augsburg are the form side, but the meetings favour Hertha: in the last ten meetings, Augsburg won one, Hertha won seven and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Augsburg or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Hertha or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Augsburg 2-1 Hertha (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).