Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. SSD Sanremese Calcio are 14th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Chisola, 1 point clear of Sestri Levante. A win would take them above Chisola. AC Bra are 16th on 2 points after 4 games, 2 points behind Sestri Levante, 1 point clear of Valenzana. A win would take them above Sestri Levante.
Form. SSD Sanremese Calcio have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. AC Bra have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. SSD Sanremese Calcio score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SSD Sanremese Calcio average 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AC Bra score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Bra average 9.0 shots (2.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings SSD Sanremese Calcio have won three, drawn three and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SSD Sanremese Calcio won one and AC Bra won three. The last time they met, on 4 May 2025, it finished SSD Sanremese Calcio 3-1 AC Bra.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SSD Sanremese Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SSD Sanremese Calcio 1-1 AC Bra (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).