Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Celle Varazze are 18th on 0 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Valenzana. A win would take them above Valenzana. Chisola Calcio are 13th on 5 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Borgosesia, level on points with Sanremese. A win would take them above Borgosesia.
Form. Celle Varazze have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Chisola Calcio have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D.
The numbers. Celle Varazze score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chisola Calcio score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chisola Calcio average 8.3 shots (2.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. Chisola Calcio have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished Celle Varazze 0-2 Chisola Calcio.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Celle Varazze are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Celle Varazze are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Celle Varazze. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Celle Varazze 1-1 Chisola Calcio (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).