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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP G
ASD Sarnese 1926 crestASASD
14:30Sun 4 Oct
PAGPaganese Calcio crestPC

ASD Sarnese 1926 vs Paganese Calcio

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. ASD Sarnese 1926 are 1st on 11 points after 5 games, 1 point clear of Paganese. Paganese Calcio are 2nd on 10 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Sarnese, level on points with Monastir. A win would take them above Sarnese.

Form. ASD Sarnese 1926 have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Paganese Calcio have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.

The numbers. ASD Sarnese 1926 score two and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. ASD Sarnese 1926 average 13.2 shots (4.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Paganese Calcio score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Paganese Calcio average 11.4 shots (3.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings ASD Sarnese 1926 have won one, drawn one and lost three. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, ASD Sarnese 1926 won one, one was drawn and Paganese Calcio won two. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished ASD Sarnese 1926 1-1 Paganese Calcio.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: ASD Sarnese 1926 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Paganese Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Sarnese 1926 or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: ASD Sarnese 1926 1-1 Paganese Calcio (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 8 (100%) · PAG 5 of 5 (100%)98.6%
ASD Sarnese 1926: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 5 · ASD Sarnese 1926: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Sarnese 1926's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 8 (100%) · PAG 3 of 5 (60%)87.2%
ASD Sarnese 1926: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 5 · ASD Sarnese 1926: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Sarnese 1926's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 7 of 8 (88%) · PAG 4 of 5 (80%)77.5%
ASD Sarnese 1926: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 5 · ASD Sarnese 1926: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Sarnese 1926's level
Under 4.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 8 (100%) · PAG 2 of 5 (40%)69%
ASD Sarnese 1926: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 5 · ASD Sarnese 1926: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Sarnese 1926's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.86
ASD 6 of 8 (75%) · PAG 3 of 5 (60%)61.5%
ASD Sarnese 1926: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 5 · ASD Sarnese 1926: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Sarnese 1926's level
ASD SARNESE 1926 GOALS
ASD Sarnese 1926 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 8 (100%) · PAG 4 of 5 (80%)85.8%
ASD Sarnese 1926 scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 5 · ASD Sarnese 1926: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Sarnese 1926's level
PAGANESE CALCIO GOALS
Paganese Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · PAG 7 of 8 (88%)82.5%
Paganese Calcio scored in 4 of 5 away · ASD Sarnese 1926 conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 5 · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at ASD Sarnese 1926's level · ASD Sarnese 1926: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level
Left off the list: ASD Sarnese 1926 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Paganese Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Sarnese 1926 or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Paganese Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 9.3%
ASD Sarnese 1926 goals →
Paganese Calcio goals ↓
0-03%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-14%
1-19%
2-19%
3-15%
4-13%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.5%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.5%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
ASD SARNESE 1926DDWDDWDWWD1.80 PPG
PAGANESE CALCIOWLDWWWWDWL2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ASD SARNESE 1926 HOMExPAGANESE CALCIO AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME2.201.30CONCEDED A GAME1.5010%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%6.25CORNERS A GAME4.402.75CARDS A GAME1.60
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
ASD SARNESE 1926 OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
PAGANESE CALCIO OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
ASD SARNESE 1926 1 · 20%DRAW 1PAGANESE CALCIO 3 · 60%
3 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-09-01ASD Sarnese 1926 1 – 2 Paganese Calcio
2024-12-01ASD Sarnese 1926 0 – 1 Paganese Calcio
2025-04-13ASD Sarnese 1926 1 – 0 Paganese Calcio
2025-10-19ASD Sarnese 1926 1 – 2 Paganese Calcio
2026-02-22ASD Sarnese 1926 1 – 1 Paganese Calcio
TRENDS
ASD Sarnese 1926 have scored in 100% of their games.
Paganese Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.
ASD Sarnese 1926 kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Paganese Calcio kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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