SMSSM

14:00Sun 4 Oct

SIR

SS Milazzo vs Siracusa Calcio

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SS Milazzo are 10th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Nissa, 2 points clear of Siracusa. A win would take them above Nissa. Siracusa Calcio are 11th on 4 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Milazzo, level on points with CastrumFavara. A win would take them above Milazzo.

Form. SS Milazzo have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. Siracusa Calcio have won three, drawn seven and lost none of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.

The numbers. SS Milazzo score 0.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. SS Milazzo average 9.0 shots (2.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Siracusa Calcio score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Siracusa Calcio average 10.0 shots (2.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SS Milazzo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Siracusa Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: SS Milazzo 1-1 Siracusa Calcio (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 5 of 5 (100%) · SIR 4 of 5 (80%)90%

SS Milazzo: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Siracusa Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Siracusa Calcio's level · Siracusa Calcio: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 5 of 5 (100%) · SIR 4 of 5 (80%)90%

SS Milazzo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Siracusa Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Siracusa Calcio's level · Siracusa Calcio: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 4 of 5 (80%) · SIR 4 of 5 (80%)81.5%

SS Milazzo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Siracusa Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Siracusa Calcio's level · Siracusa Calcio: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.72

SSM 3 of 5 (60%) · SIR 3 of 5 (60%)59.3%

SS Milazzo: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Siracusa Calcio: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Siracusa Calcio's level · Siracusa Calcio: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level

SIRACUSA CALCIO GOALS

Siracusa Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 4 of 5 (80%) · SIR 4 of 5 (80%)79.6%

Siracusa Calcio scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · SS Milazzo conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 79% · Siracusa Calcio: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Siracusa Calcio's level

Left off the list: SS Milazzo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Siracusa Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.9%

SS Milazzo goals →

Siracusa Calcio goals ↓

0-012%

1-09%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-28%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SS MILAZZODLLLLLWWLL0.70 PPG

SIRACUSA CALCIODDDDDWDWDW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SS MILAZZO HOMExSIRACUSA CALCIO AWAY

0.50SCORED A GAME1.501.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%60%FAILED TO SCORE20%3.67CORNERS A GAME5.003.33CARDS A GAME2.25

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

89%

OKAY · 85/90

SS MILAZZO OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

SIRACUSA CALCIO OR DRAW

53%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

SS Milazzo have scored in 30% of their games.

Siracusa Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.

SS Milazzo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Siracusa Calcio kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards