Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Licata 1931 are 7th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Calcio Avola, 1 point clear of AC Palermo. A win would take them above Calcio Avola. AS Sambiase are 2nd on 13 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Reggina, 3 points clear of Vibonese. A win would take them above Reggina.
Form. Licata 1931 have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. AS Sambiase have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Licata 1931 score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. AS Sambiase score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AS Sambiase average 10.8 shots (4.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. AS Sambiase have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2025, it finished Licata 1931 0-1 AS Sambiase.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Licata 1931 the likelier winners, but AS Sambiase are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AS Sambiase or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AS Sambiase or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AS Sambiase (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Licata 1931 1-1 AS Sambiase (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).