FAFID

14:00Sun 4 Oct

REA

Fidelis Andria vs Real Forio 2014

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group H, Group H - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Fidelis Andria are 18th on 1 point after 5 games, level on points with Ischia. A win would take them above Ischia. Real Forio 2014 are 9th on 7 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Gravina, level on points with Ebolitana. A win would take them above Gravina.

Form. Fidelis Andria have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Real Forio 2014 have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.

The numbers. Fidelis Andria score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Fidelis Andria average 9.3 shots (3.3 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Real Forio 2014 score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets. Real Forio 2014 average 4.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Real Forio 2014 are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Real Forio 2014 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Forio 2014. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fidelis Andria 1-2 Real Forio 2014 (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FID 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%

Fidelis Andria: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Forio 2014: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

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FID 5 of 9 (56%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)67.8%

Fidelis Andria: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Forio 2014: both scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level

FIDELIS ANDRIA GOALS

Fidelis Andria Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FID 6 of 9 (67%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%

Fidelis Andria scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Forio 2014 conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level

REAL FORIO 2014 GOALS

Real Forio 2014 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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FID 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)78.9%

Real Forio 2014 scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Fidelis Andria conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.1%

Fidelis Andria goals →

Real Forio 2014 goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FIDELIS ANDRIAWWDLDLLDLL0.90 PPG

REAL FORIO 2014DWLWDL1.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FIDELIS ANDRIA HOMExREAL FORIO 2014 AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.671.40CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS0%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%3.86CORNERS A GAME4.001.86CARDS A GAME4.00

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 85/90

FIDELIS ANDRIA OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

REAL FORIO 2014 OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Fidelis Andria have scored in 70% of their games.

Real Forio 2014 have scored in 83% of their games.

Fidelis Andria kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Real Forio 2014 kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards