FGFBC

14:30Sun 4 Oct

VIR

FBC Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla Calcio

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group H, Group H - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FBC Gravina are 8th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Manfredonia, 1 point clear of Real Forio 2014. A win would take them above Manfredonia. Virtus Francavilla Calcio are 1st on 15 points after 5 games, 3 points clear of Bisceglie.

Form. FBC Gravina have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. Virtus Francavilla Calcio have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. FBC Gravina score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FBC Gravina average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Virtus Francavilla Calcio score 1.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Virtus Francavilla Calcio average 13.0 shots (4.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings FBC Gravina have won one, drawn two and lost one. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished FBC Gravina 1-0 Virtus Francavilla Calcio.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Virtus Francavilla Calcio's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. FBC Gravina to win. Their goals for and against make FBC Gravina the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FBC Gravina.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FBC Gravina 2-1 Virtus Francavilla Calcio (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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FBC 8 of 9 (89%) · VIR 9 of 9 (100%)95.2%

FBC Gravina: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Francavilla Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 4 · FBC Gravina: only games against sides at Virtus Francavilla Calcio's level · Virtus Francavilla Calcio: only games against sides at FBC Gravina's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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FBC 8 of 9 (89%) · VIR 9 of 9 (100%)91.7%

FBC Gravina: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Francavilla Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 4 · FBC Gravina: only games against sides at Virtus Francavilla Calcio's level · Virtus Francavilla Calcio: only games against sides at FBC Gravina's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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FBC 6 of 9 (67%) · VIR 8 of 9 (89%)81%

FBC Gravina: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Francavilla Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 4 · FBC Gravina: only games against sides at Virtus Francavilla Calcio's level · Virtus Francavilla Calcio: only games against sides at FBC Gravina's level

FBC GRAVINA GOALS

FBC Gravina Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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FBC 7 of 9 (78%) · VIR 8 of 9 (89%)78.6%

FBC Gravina scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Francavilla Calcio conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 4 · FBC Gravina: only games against sides at Virtus Francavilla Calcio's level · Virtus Francavilla Calcio: only games against sides at FBC Gravina's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.4%

FBC Gravina goals →

Virtus Francavilla… goals ↓

0-04%

1-07%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-14%

1-110%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.8%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.4%

0-40.5%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.3%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

FBC GRAVINAWWWWWWWDDL2.30 PPG

VIRTUS FRANCAVILLA CALCIOLLLDWWWWWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FBC GRAVINA HOMExVIRTUS FRANCAVILLA CALCIO AWAY

2.60SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS10%40%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.67CORNERS A GAME4.831.33CARDS A GAME2.17

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

FBC GRAVINA 1 · 25%DRAW 2VIRTUS FRANCAVILLA CALCIO 1 · 25%

1 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

1 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-10-13FBC Gravina 0 – 1 Virtus Francavilla Calcio

2025-02-09FBC Gravina 1 – 1 Virtus Francavilla Calcio

2025-10-19FBC Gravina 0 – 0 Virtus Francavilla Calcio

2026-02-22FBC Gravina 1 – 0 Virtus Francavilla Calcio

TRENDS

FBC Gravina have scored in 80% of their games.

Virtus Francavilla Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.

FBC Gravina kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Virtus Francavilla Calcio kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards