Match details. Serie D, Group H, Group H - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AC Martina are 6th on 9 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Real Normanna, 1 point clear of Manfredonia. A win would take them above Real Normanna. FC Francavilla 1931 are 16th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind USD Palmese, 2 points clear of Ischia. A win would take them above USD Palmese.
Form. AC Martina have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. FC Francavilla 1931 have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. AC Martina score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AC Martina average 11.8 shots (5.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FC Francavilla 1931 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Francavilla 1931 average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings AC Martina have won five, drawn one and lost none. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, AC Martina won four. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished AC Martina 2-1 FC Francavilla 1931.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; five of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FC Francavilla 1931's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. AC Martina to win. An open game. AC Martina are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Martina; the meetings favour AC Martina. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Martina or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AC Martina 2-1 FC Francavilla 1931 (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).