Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce are 16th on 2 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Sarrabus Ogliastra, 1 point clear of Atletico Lodigiani. A win would take them level on points with Sarrabus Ogliastra. Sarrabus Ogliastra are 15th on 5 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Città di Anagni, 3 points clear of Latte Dolce. A win would take them above Città di Anagni.
Form. Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. Sarrabus Ogliastra have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sarrabus Ogliastra average 11.3 shots (3.7 on target), 2.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce have won four, drawn three and lost one. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 6 Jan 2026, it finished Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce 1-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sassari Calcio Latte Dolce 1-1 Sarrabus Ogliastra (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).