Match details. Serie D, Group F, Group F - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Termoli are 17th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Angelana, 2 points clear of Pietralunga. A win would take them above Angelana. Lanciano FC are 8th on 7 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Montecchio Gallo, level on points with Atletico Ascoli. A win would take them above Montecchio Gallo.
Form. Termoli have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. Lanciano FC have won three, drawn two and lost two of their last seven, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.
The numbers. Termoli score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Lanciano FC score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet. Lanciano FC average 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lanciano FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Lanciano FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Lanciano FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Termoli 1-2 Lanciano FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).