Santegidiese Calcio vs Giulianova Calcio
Match details. Serie D, Group F, Group F - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Santegidiese Calcio are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Ancona, level on points with Montecchio Gallo. A win would take them above Ancona. Giulianova Calcio are 13th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Notaresco, level on points with Maceratese. A win would take them above Notaresco.
Form. Santegidiese Calcio have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Giulianova Calcio have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L.
The numbers. Santegidiese Calcio score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. Santegidiese Calcio average 10.3 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Giulianova Calcio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Giulianova Calcio average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); Santegidiese Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Santegidiese Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Santegidiese Calcio 1-1 Giulianova Calcio (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).