K-Sport Montecchio Gallo vs Notaresco Calcio
Match details. Serie D, Group F, Group F - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. K-Sport Montecchio Gallo are 7th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Santegidiese, 1 point clear of Lanciano FC. A win would take them above Santegidiese. Notaresco Calcio are 12th on 5 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Recanatese, 1 point clear of Real Giulianova. A win would take them above Recanatese.
Form. K-Sport Montecchio Gallo have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. Notaresco Calcio have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L.
The numbers. K-Sport Montecchio Gallo score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. K-Sport Montecchio Gallo average 9.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Notaresco Calcio score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Notaresco Calcio average 9.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: K-Sport Montecchio Gallo or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); K-Sport Montecchio Gallo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); K-Sport Montecchio Gallo or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: K-Sport Montecchio Gallo 1-1 Notaresco Calcio (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).