ASASD

14:00Sun 4 Oct

MEZ

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara Calcio

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E, Group E - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle are 11th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Montevarchi Calcio, 1 point clear of Mezzolara. A win would take them above Montevarchi Calcio. Mezzolara Calcio are 12th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind San Donato Tavarnelle, 1 point clear of Ternana. A win would take them above San Donato Tavarnelle.

Form. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. Mezzolara Calcio have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D.

The numbers. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle average 7.3 shots (1.7 on target), 2.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game. Mezzolara Calcio score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal.

The case against. Mezzolara Calcio's record still gives them 22% to win.

The read. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle to win. A tight game. ASD San Donato Tavarnelle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASD San Donato Tavarnelle. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ASD San Donato Tavarnelle 1-0 Mezzolara Calcio (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · MEZ 7 of 9 (78%)87%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Mezzolara Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 7 (71%) · MEZ 3 of 5 (60%)65.7%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Mezzolara Calcio lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · MEZ 9 of 9 (100%)100%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mezzolara Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · MEZ 9 of 9 (100%)100%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mezzolara Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · MEZ 8 of 9 (89%)92.6%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mezzolara Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.71

ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · MEZ 5 of 9 (56%)65.6%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Mezzolara Calcio: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level

ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE GOALS

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · MEZ 6 of 9 (67%)74.8%

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 4 of 5 at home · Mezzolara Calcio conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · ASD San Donato Tavarnelle: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at ASD San Donato Tavarnelle's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13.4%

ASD San Donato… goals →

Mezzolara Calcio goals ↓

0-012%

1-013%

2-09%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.4%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLEWWWDDWWDLL1.80 PPG

MEZZOLARA CALCIODWLLLDLWDD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE HOMExMEZZOLARA CALCIO AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME0.900.80CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE60%

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ASD SAN DONATO TAVARNELLE OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

MEZZOLARA CALCIO OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle have scored in 80% of their games.

Mezzolara Calcio have scored in 50% of their games.

ASD San Donato Tavarnelle kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Mezzolara Calcio kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards