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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP E
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana crestAFASD
14:00Sun 4 Oct
USFUS Follonica Gavorrano crestUF

ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana vs US Follonica Gavorrano

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E, Group E - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana are 5th on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Lucchese, 1 point clear of Tau Altopascio. A win would take them above Lucchese. US Follonica Gavorrano are 2nd on 13 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Prato, 3 points clear of Seravezza. A win would take them above Prato.

Form. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. US Follonica Gavorrano have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.

The numbers. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana average 13.6 shots (4.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. US Follonica Gavorrano score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana have won two, drawn two and lost four. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana won one, one was drawn and US Follonica Gavorrano won two. The last time they met, on 2 Feb 2025, it finished ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 1-2 US Follonica Gavorrano.

The case against. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. US Follonica Gavorrano to win. An open game. US Follonica Gavorrano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Follonica Gavorrano. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 1-2 US Follonica Gavorrano (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Follonica Gavorrano or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 8 (100%) · USF 8 of 9 (89%)95.8%
US Follonica Gavorrano: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
US Follonica Gavorrano or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 7 of 8 (88%) · USF 6 of 9 (67%)82.8%
US Follonica Gavorrano: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 6 of 6 · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
US Follonica Gavorrano (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 6 of 7 (86%) · USF 2 of 6 (33%)59.6%
US Follonica Gavorrano won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana lost 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 5 · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · won 3, refunded 4, los
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 9 of 9 (100%) · USF 8 of 8 (100%)100%
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Follonica Gavorrano: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 7 of 9 (78%) · USF 7 of 8 (88%)78.6%
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Follonica Gavorrano: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.00
ASD 5 of 9 (56%) · USF 4 of 8 (50%)56.3%
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Follonica Gavorrano: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 4 of 6 · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 6 of 9 (67%) · USF 5 of 8 (62%)65.1%
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Follonica Gavorrano: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO GOALS
US Follonica Gavorrano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 8 (100%) · USF 7 of 9 (78%)91.7%
US Follonica Gavorrano scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.2%
ASD Flaminia Civita… goals →
US Follonica Gavorrano goals ↓
0-05%
1-06%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-17%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-34%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.7%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.5%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
ASD FLAMINIA CIVITA CASTELLANADLWDDWWDLW1.60 PPG
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANOWLWDDWDWWW2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ASD FLAMINIA CIVITA CASTELLANA HOMExUS FOLLONICA GAVORRANO AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME1.901.80CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
ASD FLAMINIA CIVITA CASTELLANA 2 · 25%DRAW 2US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO 4 · 50%
6 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-09-29ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 2 – 3 US Follonica Gavorrano
2020-02-02ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 1 – 1 US Follonica Gavorrano
2021-12-12ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 0 – 1 US Follonica Gavorrano
2022-04-27ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 3 – 1 US Follonica Gavorrano
2022-10-23ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 3 – 3 US Follonica Gavorrano
2023-02-25ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 0 – 1 US Follonica Gavorrano
2024-10-06ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 2 – 1 US Follonica Gavorrano
2025-02-02ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana 1 – 2 US Follonica Gavorrano
TRENDS
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana have scored in 90% of their games.
US Follonica Gavorrano have scored in 100% of their games.
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
US Follonica Gavorrano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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