CCCOR

14:00Sun 4 Oct

PAV

Correggese Calcio 1948 vs Pavia Calcio 1911

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Correggese Calcio 1948 are 10th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Cittadella Vis Modena, 1 point clear of Città di Varese. A win would take them above Cittadella Vis Modena. Pavia Calcio 1911 are 8th on 7 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Sant'Angelo, level on points with Cittadella Vis Modena. A win would take them above Sant'Angelo.

Form. Correggese Calcio 1948 have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. Pavia Calcio 1911 have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W.

The numbers. Correggese Calcio 1948 score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Correggese Calcio 1948 average 7.8 shots (2.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Pavia Calcio 1911 score 0.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pavia Calcio 1911 average 6.7 shots (1.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Correggese Calcio 1948 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pavia Calcio 1911 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Correggese Calcio 1948 1-1 Pavia Calcio 1911 (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

COR 5 of 5 (100%) · PAV 8 of 8 (100%)100%

Correggese Calcio 1948: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Correggese Calcio 1948: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Correggese Calcio 1948's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

COR 5 of 5 (100%) · PAV 8 of 8 (100%)100%

Correggese Calcio 1948: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Correggese Calcio 1948: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Correggese Calcio 1948's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

COR 4 of 5 (80%) · PAV 8 of 8 (100%)91.5%

Correggese Calcio 1948: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Correggese Calcio 1948: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Correggese Calcio 1948's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

COR 2 of 5 (40%) · PAV 6 of 8 (75%)61.9%

Correggese Calcio 1948: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Correggese Calcio 1948: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Correggese Calcio 1948's level

Left off the list: Correggese Calcio 1948 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pavia Calcio 1911 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.2%

Correggese Calcio 1948 goals →

Pavia Calcio 1911 goals ↓

0-013%

1-011%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-28%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.9%

1-40.8%

2-40.4%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CORREGGESE CALCIO 1948DDDWLLDWLW1.30 PPG

PAVIA CALCIO 1911LWLWDWDDDD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CORREGGESE CALCIO 1948 HOMExPAVIA CALCIO 1911 AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.5030%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE75%5.60CORNERS A GAME3.002.60CARDS A GAME3.00

TRENDS

Correggese Calcio 1948 have scored in 80% of their games.

Pavia Calcio 1911 have scored in 50% of their games.

Correggese Calcio 1948 kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Pavia Calcio 1911 kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards