THE READ
Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. ASD Varesina Calcio are 14th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Coriano, 1 point clear of Oltrepò. A win would take them above Coriano. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are 3rd on 12 points after 5 games, level on points with Pro Sesto, 2 points clear of USD Casatese. A win would take them above Pro Sesto.
Form. ASD Varesina Calcio have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. ASD Varesina Calcio score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. ASD Varesina Calcio average 6.7 shots (1.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio average 11.4 shots (3.4 on target), 7.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. ASD Varesina Calcio's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pro Patria Busto Arsizio the likelier winners; Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pro Patria Busto Arsizio. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pro Patria Busto Arsizio Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ASD Varesina Calcio 1-2 Pro Patria Busto Arsizio (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 8 of 9 (89%)84.4%
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 7 of 9 (78%)78.9%
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 3 of 6 (50%)65%
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · ASD Varesina Calcio lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level · won 4, refunded 1, lost 2
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 3 of 9 (33%)56.7%
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio lost 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level
GOALS
no price yet
ASD 9 of 9 (100%) · PRO 5 of 5 (100%)100%
ASD Varesina Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level
no price yet
ASD 7 of 9 (78%) · PRO 4 of 5 (80%)78.9%
ASD Varesina Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
ASD 6 of 9 (67%) · PRO 3 of 5 (60%)63.3%
ASD Varesina Calcio: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 7 of 9 (78%) · PRO 2 of 5 (40%)58.9%
ASD Varesina Calcio: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: both scored in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level
ASD VARESINA CALCIO GOALS
ASD Varesina Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 9 (89%) · PRO 3 of 5 (60%)74.4%
ASD Varesina Calcio scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level
PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO GOALS
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 8 of 9 (89%)84.4%
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 5 of 9 (56%)67.8%
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Varesina Calcio conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: only games against sides at ASD Varesina Calcio's level · ASD Varesina Calcio: only games against sides at Pro Patria Busto Arsizio's level
Left off the list: Pro Patria Busto Arsizio Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (43%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
TRENDS
ASD Varesina Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have scored in 90% of their games.
ASD Varesina Calcio kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Pro Patria Busto Arsizio kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.