Match details. Serie D, Group D, Group D - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. ASD Sant'Angelo are 7th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Castellanzese, 1 point clear of Pavia. A win would take them above Castellanzese. USD Castellanzese 1921 are 6th on 9 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Lentigione, 1 point clear of Sant'Angelo. A win would take them above Lentigione.
Form. ASD Sant'Angelo have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. USD Castellanzese 1921 have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. ASD Sant'Angelo score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. ASD Sant'Angelo average 6.2 shots (2.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. USD Castellanzese 1921 score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. USD Castellanzese 1921 average 7.8 shots (2.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings ASD Sant'Angelo have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2025, it finished ASD Sant'Angelo 0-2 USD Castellanzese 1921.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: ASD Sant'Angelo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Sant'Angelo or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Sant'Angelo or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: ASD Sant'Angelo 1-1 USD Castellanzese 1921 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).