Match details. Croatian Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. HNK Vukovar 1991 have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition HNK Vukovar 1991 have gone W W. GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition GNK Dinamo Zagreb have gone W.
The numbers. HNK Vukovar 1991 score 1.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. HNK Vukovar 1991 average 8.5 shots (3.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game. GNK Dinamo Zagreb score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. GNK Dinamo Zagreb average 16.3 shots (5.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings HNK Vukovar 1991 have won one, drawn none and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished HNK Vukovar 1991 1-4 GNK Dinamo Zagreb: HNK Vukovar 1991 had 11 shots to 15, 33% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 56%.
The read. No firm call: GNK Dinamo Zagreb are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make GNK Dinamo Zagreb the likelier winners; GNK Dinamo Zagreb are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb; the meetings favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: GNK Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 goals (HNK Vukovar 1991's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: HNK Vukovar 1991 1-2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).